I agree with Trump

I agree with Hitler, too: German Shepherds are really fine dogs. The Führer and I are on the same page – it would be really cool to get a new German Shepherd puppy. Am I a bad person? (Don’t answer that.)

dog

Trump seems to me to be a profoundly ignorant person. A willfully ignorant person. It’s really quite shocking that someone who grew up with so many privileges and opportunities, and who has seen so much of the world in his adult life, could have taken in so little. A normal person would have to try really hard to achieve that, which is why I say he is “willfully” ignorant. Or maybe it’s related to some sort of ADD or other physical characteristic. He just can’t stay on one thing for more than a few seconds.

The net effect is, as I have pointed out many times, that Trump has no real principles. He doesn’t “believe” what he’s saying half the time because he doesn’t even know what he’s saying half the time. And then he’ll completely contradict himself, sometimes even in the same sentence, which only reinforces the notion that he doesn’t believe in anything. We’ve seen it often.

This is not to say that therefore nothing he says matters. As president, the things he says will matter very much.

This presents an interesting dilemma for the rest of us. Since, over the course of time, Trump will take every side of every issue (which is absolutely perfect for someone who wants to take credit for prescience), the law of averages suggests that sooner or later he’ll say something you actually agree with. Or, if you prefer, even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

If you do agree with something that flies by on Trump’s twitter feed, it doesn’t mean you support him or think he may be an OK president. Or that he isn’t a vulgar man-baby. And it doesn’t mean you have to stop thinking the thing that Trump has now blurted out, either.

Some of the things you might be thinking are things you would have never said in the past, because you know your friends would think you were an asshole if you said them. Or just because the social contract that keeps us from screaming at each other all the time has forbidden you to say them. When Trump says them, it gives you permission to say them, too. Trump is voiding the social contract, which is why all the racists and nut-jobs on Breitbart think it’s Morning In America.

I’ll give you two quick examples of stupid things Trump said this week that I actually agree with. The first is we should cut funding of the U.N. (everyone there hates us), and the second is that we should cut aid to sub-Saharan African countries (the aid hardly ever reaches the intended recipient and usually accomplishes the opposite of what we hoped it would).

Am I a bad person? (Don’t answer that.)

 

 

Make Polio Great Again

For a minute there, it looked like Trump appointed RFK Jr., an anti-vaccination kook, to “chair a presidential panel to review vaccine safety and science”. At least, this is what RFK Jr.said after a meeting with Trump on the issue.

This really shouldn’t be a surprise, since Trump did meet with anti-vax activists in August, who reported that he was “extremely educated on our issues.”  Trump has repeatedly suggested in interviews, tweets and during debates that he sees some link between childhood vaccinations and autism, despite the lack of any scientific evidence supporting such a link.

For some reason, this reminds me of the 2006 conference that Iran had  in which “experts” from around the world spoke about the scientific evidence they had that the Holocaust never happened. The expert from the U.S. was David Duke. Nuf sed.

If you’re wondering if any Republicans will voice an “opinion” that maybe immunologists know what they’re doing, forget it. The best you’ll get is “I have an open mind about it – the jury is still out”. Just think back to the 2008 Republican primary debate where the candidates raised their hands to indicate a belief in creationism. It came up after Rick Perry, our next Energy Secretary, told a kid in NH that evolution was just a theory that was out there. Here’s a breakdown of how the candidates answered the evolution “question” at the time.

As long as we’re clearing up some old fake news and ideological science, I think maybe we should try to get to the bottom of the long-running controversy about the alleged “fact” that the earth is round.  Who knows what the truth really is about this?

Anyway, we may be safe for the moment. Trump appears to have walked back the notion that he is appointing RFK Jr. to anything right now.

rfk-tweet

But here is the interesting thing about all this: I can no longer remember even the last few outrages that have come at a rate of at least one a day for months. Something about nepotism, maybe? Russian hacking? Ethics? Conflicts of interest? Don’t know, don’t care. None of them matter any more. They never happened. Vaccines and autism – that’s what’s important now!

Man-baby can’t help himself

The other day, for no apparent reason, the man-baby started a fight with Arnold Schwarzenegger because the Celebrity Apprentice ratings were off. He bragged that he was a ratings machine  From the link:

The reaction was utterly predictable. Democrats — and even some Republicans — wondered why Trump was fixated on the ratings for “The Celebrity Apprentice” on the same day that he was set to receive a briefing from intelligence officials about the depth and breadth of Russia’s hacking into the 2016 election. It was the height of irresponsibility, they tweeted!

Meryl Streep gave a passionate anti-Trump speech at the Golden Globe awards last night. In general, I’m with those who think politics should be kept out of these venues. I don’t really care what Colin Kaepernick thinks about the issues of the day, for example. Or, to be honest, Meryl Streep, though I agree with every word she said on this occasion.

If they do have something interesting or important to communicate, let them write an Op-ed piece or whatever, but keep it off the field or the stage.

That being said, does Trump really need to respond to every single criticism that reaches his ears? And does his response always always always have to come in the form of an ad hominem attack?

trump

What happened to “time to come together and heal”?

After the election, I was trying to convince myself that maybe it was possible that things would still be OK. After all, since Trump has no principles and the goal was always just getting elected, not actually “Build a wall” or “Lock her up”, maybe he wouldn’t feel inclined to “act” once in office. Maybe he wouldn’t screw things up. Maybe he’d adopt the “First Do No Harm” model. That would be the best case.

The worst case is that some ISIS moron tweets “Trump has tiny little hands and that means something else is tiny, too. Nyah, nyah, what are you gonna do about it, nuke Riyadh?”

If he can’t help himself from going after Meryl Streep, what might his response to this be? And it’s pretty clear he can’t help himself.

 

You’re fired!

I used to think that our founding documents protected us from the rise of a demagogue, and that if a demagogue was able to rise, his demagoguery would be nipped in the bud. The separation of powers and the free press would assure that. The president is not an emperor, after all.

Well, forget all that. None of the institutions that we thought would protect us will. The judiciary will no longer be independent. Congress will happily relinquish its autonomy and its last few shreds of public confidence. The fourth estate has been completely de-fanged by the internet, the decline of “journalism”, the rise of disinformation, the blurring of entertainment and information, greediness and fecklessness.

There was a lot of outcry this week when Congress decided to officially do away with ethics oversight. Why in the world would they do this in the first place? What problem does it solve? Is it really a priority? Anyway, they reconsidered their rashness after a tweet from The Orange One, and reversed course the same day. No one wants to be on the wrong end of a twitter fight with the man-baby, after all.

The way (Republican) congressmen have functioned in recent years was to take their marching orders from the Kochs and Dark Money interests. If they didn’t, well, a “better” candidate would miraculously emerge in their district and they’d lose their job. The voters were already hypnotized into voting against their own interests by talk radio,  FoxNews, and the alt-right internet. Minimum wage? Social Security? Health Care? Unions? Clean air and water? Bah! Who needs them? We’d rather starve and choke if we can stick it to the Liberal Elite.

But something has changed. The new reality is that the voters are still hypnotized, but their allegiance is with a new Svengali. Whatever Trump tweets, goes. Julian Assange and Vladimir Putin are now more credible than our own intelligence agencies? Tweet it. Done! Let that coward John McCain whine about it all he wants.

If Trump wants to single out an individual, whether a gold-star mom, a beauty pageant winner, a news reporter, a congressman, an agency employee, a corporate CEO, or whoever else, that person is in deep trouble with the 60 million Trump supporters. A random tweet can easily mobilize the best of them to irrationality and the worst of them to violence.

And Trump is completely at ease fighting with Democrats and Republicans alike, with historical allies or enemies, with our own security agencies, with news outlets, print media, sports figures, federal judges, Supreme Court justices. Anyone and everyone. Let’s face it, he just likes to fight. Chaos is his best pal.

If you say something nice about him, you’ll be spared. Temporarily. Nothing he says today is guaranteed not to be reversed tomorrow. You’re better off keeping quiet.  Anyone who thinks things will change when he actually takes office is deluded. “You’re Fired” is not just a TV catch-phrase – it’s who he is and wants to be. Fear him. Fear for your job. He has the power to destroy you. (You know who else was like this? I’m not saying his name…)

He’s put in place a team of people to head agencies whose very existence they’ve questioned. Expect a lot of firing within those agencies . And then, expect the firing of the people put in place to do the firing.

Congress now needs to please the man-baby, lest he mobilize his grass-roots minions against them. And with all the nutty promises and rhetoric from the campaign now in play,  the lid is off. They’re itching to show they mean business. Repeal the ACA without a replacement? Yes, because the most important thing we can do is de-fund Planned Parenthood right this second. Put them out of work

Today the coming orgy of firing got a big shot in the arm. The House Republicans (yes, them again) revived a 130 year-old rule that allows them to reduce the pay of any individual government employee to $1. In other words, to fire them.

From the link:

Democrats and federal employee unions say the provision, which one called the “Armageddon Rule,” could prove alarming to the federal workforce because it comes in combination with President-elect Donald Trump’s criticism of the Washington bureaucracy, his call for a freeze on government hiring and his nomination of Cabinet secretaries who in some cases seem to be at odds with the mission of the agencies they would lead.

“This is part of a very chilling theme that federal workers are seeing right now,” said Maureen Gilman, legislative director for the National Treasury Employees Union, which represents 150,000 federal employees.

The man-baby is going to love this! You’re fired, you’re fired, and you’re fired, too. You’re all fired!

Filling the swamp

Let the madness begin.

For months now, we’ve been hearing about Trump’s pledge to “drain the swamp”. If you’ve been paying attention to his pronouncements (really, though, why would you bother when none of them means anything?), you know this swamp-draining thing is about lobbyists. Trump’s Big Idea is that there’s too much outside influence in congress and that lobbyists had created a swamp of money and corruption.

Trump pledged to “make our government honest once again”, which is pretty funny since the eight years of Obama have been scandal-free, the cleanest administration we’ve ever had thanks to strong ethics guidelines and vetting from Obama himself. Anyway, Trump’s 10/17/2016 proposal for sweeping ethics reform had five points:

First: I am going to re-institute a 5-year ban on all executive branch officials lobbying the government for 5 years after they leave government service. I am going to ask Congress to pass this ban into law so that it cannot be lifted by executive order.

Second: I am going to ask Congress to institute its own 5-year ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and their staffs.

Third: I am going to expand the definition of lobbyist so we close all the loopholes that former government officials use by labeling themselves consultants and advisers when we all know they are lobbyists.

Fourth: I am going to issue a lifetime ban against senior executive branch officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government.

Fifth: I am going to ask Congress to pass a campaign finance reform that prevents registered foreign lobbyists from raising money in American elections.

Not only will we end our government corruption, but we will end the economic stagnation.

There is huge shift in power about to begin Washington.  Both houses of Congress will be controlled by Republicans, and the incoming Republican president is a “businessman” with more potential conflicts of interest than anyone in history.  They want big changes to health care, infrastructure, and lots of other areas where private interests have historically exercised their lobbying clout to great effect.

But so far, Trump has shown little interest in backing up his words with any action. He’s stacked his transition team with lobbyists and insiders.  Corey Lewandowski, Trump’s first campaign manager, has opened a new lobbying firm just a block from the White House, along with another Trump adviser, Barry Bennett.

If there was any doubt left about the Republicans’ actual intentions about ethics and lobbying, it was removed  yesterday.  In a surprise vote with no public debate, House Republicans destroyed the Office of Congressional Ethics, which since 2008 has provided independent oversight over congress.  It was set up in response to bribery allegations against Representatives Duke Cunningham, Republican of California; William J. Jefferson, Democrat of Louisiana; and Bob Ney, Republican of Ohio. All were convicted and served jail time.

In response Nancy Pelosi said, “Republicans claim they want to ‘drain the swamp,’ but the night before the new Congress gets sworn in, the House G.O.P. has eliminated the only independent ethics oversight of their actions. Evidently, ethics are the first casualty of the new Republican Congress.”

Another way to say it is that the new administration is closely adhering to the bumper sticker slogan we suggested for them when discussing the absurdity of the Electoral College, “The Opposite Is True”.

Biggest lies, biggest prize

Remember in 2011 when Trump sent his crack team of investigators to Hawaii to get the real truth about Obama’s birth?  Man, how he milked it – every night on TV, every day in the papers and on the net.

“I have people that have been studying it and they cannot believe what they’re finding,” Trump said on NBC at the time. Right. They can’t. And they didn’t find anything. And they didn’t exist.

“We’re looking into it very, very strongly. At a certain point in time I’ll be revealing some interesting things,” Trump blithely blathered on CNN’s American Morning.

Of course he never produced anything. He also never admitted there was nothing to produce. He also never gave up the fiction that he had knowledge on the subject that others didn’t.

Only in September 2016 did he grudgingly say that Obama was an American, something  everybody (except most Republicans) had already known for years. Speaking at the opening of his new Washington D.C. hotel, he tacked these words on at the end,  “President Barack Obama was born in the United States”  This was all he had by way of explanation after years of preposterous lying.

I really, really hate bringing Hitler into these Trump discussions, but when talking about The Big Lie, you have to. Hitler invented it in 1925, and you just can’t pretend otherwise. Dictating Mein Kampf he talked about the use of a lie so “colossal” that no one would believe that someone “could have the impudence to distort the truth so infamously.” He explained it this way:

“…in the big lie there is always a certain force of credibility; because the broad masses of a nation are always more easily corrupted in the deeper strata of their emotional nature than consciously or voluntarily; and thus in the primitive simplicity of their minds they more readily fall victims to the big lie than the small lie, since they themselves often tell small lies in little matters but would be ashamed to resort to large-scale falsehoods. It would never come into their heads to fabricate colossal untruths, and they would not believe that others could have the impudence to distort the truth so infamously. Even though the facts which prove this to be so may be brought clearly to their minds, they will still doubt and waver and will continue to think that there may be some other explanation. For the grossly impudent lie always leaves traces behind it, even after it has been nailed down, a fact which is known to all expert liars in this world and to all who conspire together in the art of lying.

Today, Trump is at it again. Using language almost identical to that of his Birther Period, Trump is saying that the 17 security agencies, including the FBI and the CIA, who have concluded that the Russians interfered with the election are wrong. On Saturday, he said he knew “things that other people don’t know” about the hacking, and that the information would be revealed “on Tuesday or Wednesday.”

Last week, he sent Kellyanne Conway out to say that the sanctions Obama had implemented against the Russians were actually directed at Trump. Basically the message here is that, for the incoming Trump administration, Democrats are the enemy of the U.S. and Russia is our ally in the fight against this enemy.

What I don’t understand is why say anything at all? The election is over. The hacking report is not going to change the result, and no one is claiming that it will. There is no longer any pressing need to discredit Obama or Democrats or anyone else.

Trump’s idiotic statements on the subject are more of the same combative nonsense that we heard throughout the campaign. It was effective then, but the job now is different: then the job was to get elected, and now it’s to bring the country together and lead all of us, including critics and including non-partisan independent agencies of the government that you’ll have to work with over the next four years, and who have no anti-Trump motive at this point.

Manbaby, you’ve already won the biggest prize. Stop already with the biggest lies.

Businessman-in-Chief

One of the things we heard repeatedly over the summer was that it would be great if government was run more like a business and that, as a great businessman, Trump would be the one to make this happen.

First of all,  the question of whether Trump is a good businessman is very much open to debate. Even if your only criterion was how much money someone had, it’s still not settled in Trump’s case.

Second, there is a huge difference between running a publicly held corporation and running a closely held private company.  In a family business like Trump has, you can fire people at will, stiff your contractors and creditors when it suits you, sue or threaten to sue people who challenge you, declare bankruptcy for profit, disregard affirmative action requirements, refuse independent audits, keep financial results secret, refuse outside directors, and so on. Virtually all the profits flow into your own pockets, and the sole purpose of the enterprise is more and more profits. For you.

Trump did try going public at one point about 20 years ago, and it was an unmitigated disaster. Stockholders, or as Trump regarded them, “shmucks”, lost 90% of their investment in the TRMP offering.

But third, and most important, the whole thesis that government should be run like a business is silly. Government isn’t a business and shouldn’t be run like one. It should be run like a government.

Businesses have managers, owners, customers, employees, and creditors. The interest of each differs wildly from the interests of the others. Government doesn’t have owners or customers. It has citizens.

The interest of business management is obscene compensation, particularly in proportion to their employees. They work for short-term gains. For themselves.

The interest of business owners (stockholders) is long-term growth. They are mostly represented by mutual fund companies, which also have a grotesquely overcompensated management class whose interest aligns more with company management than their own customers, the retail stockholders. The stockholder is routinely misled for the short-term advantage of the managers.

The interest of business customers is to get high quality products or services at a reasonable price. But in recent decades, customers have devolved from important clients-to-be-pleased to disposable suckers-to-be-fleeced. Just look at the way the big cable and phone companies treat their customers for ample evidence of this. Better still, look at the “students” at Trump University.

The interest of business employees is long-term stability, including a living wage, and health and retirement benefits. But employees are no longer really valued by most business managers. They are exploited, disposable, and typically don’t share in the success of the enterprise. They are regarded as overhead to be reduced whenever possible by outsourcing, salary cuts, and diminished benefits.

The interest of business creditors is that they want to get paid,  but they can be easily stiffed. The terms of their contracts can be re-negotiated by the business managers who have all the cards in that game. Bankruptcy can be declared to provide management “protection” from having to pay. The business can simply say, “we’re not paying – sue us”. Trump has stiffed his creditors, bondholders, and suppliers over and over again.

Government is not like this at all.  Everyone has the same interest. It’s employees are citizens. Its creditors (bondholders) are often citizens, too.  No one is paid disproportionately, and certainly not obscenely. Creditors can be assured they will be paid – U.S. debt obligations are known to be the safest in the world.

But, most importantly, the government is not a for-profit enterprise. All assets belong to the citizens, and if any manager were to directly benefit from any “deal”, he will have committed a crime.

When a voter says he wants the government to run like a business, he means he wants to eliminate waste and not overpay for what we buy. Fair enough. But it’s also understood that the government is to be run for the benefit of all, not the few at the top.

And here is where the voter will be bitterly disappointed. This is not what they will be getting with Businessman-In-Chief Trump.

 

 

you cannot believe the things he says

The Washington Post agrees: Trump thrives on chaos.

“We’re just operating in this world where you cannot believe the things he says,” said Eliot Cohen, a foreign policy expert and former George W. Bush administration official at the State Department.  “It will have large consequences for our allies and our adversaries, and it’s going to greatly magnify the danger of miscalculation by all kinds of people.”

This is the pattern we have consistently seen and can expect to see over and over going forward:

  1. Trump tweets out some incendiary nonsense that puts the world on edge and makes everyone wonder if he’s insane,  ignorant, or simply looking to get us all killed
  2. His surrogates fan out to explain to the media what he really meant and how it’s not that bad and not at all what it seemed
  3. Trump then contradicts his surrogates, says the Tweet meant exactly what it said, and doubles down with additional gasoline for the fire
  4. The surrogates fan out once more and complain the media is making way too big a thing about it and why didn’t anyone complain when Hillary said x, y, or z.

Everyone now understands Trump is the Master Distracter, and is perhaps trying to deflect attention from something else, trivial or important, e.g. that no big-name talent wants to perform at his inauguration.

But every single day? Is this really necessary?

Thomas Nichols, a U.S. Naval War College professor, says

“It’s worse than not having one explanation.  If you’re going to change policy, then that requires a kind of steely consistency and a lot of disciplined messaging.”

“We’re all spending a lot of time trying to devise the future of America’s nuclear policy out of 140 characters.”

Is this the way we want to live?  Is the entire world just a snow-globe that Trump shakes up for his own amusement every  day?

I’ll say it one more time.  Man-baby: Put. The Twitter.  Down.  Or, if you prefer the Keith Olbermann style:

keith

Privatizing the Presidency

Conservatives have long sought to reduce the role of government in all aspects, and the Trump presidency will no doubt provide a good deal of help in that endeavor.

Just to cite one example of many, Betsy DeVos, the incoming  Secretary of Education, really doesn’t believe in public education at all, preferring charter and religious schools.

The failed Bush administration attempt to privatize Social Security doesn’t seem to have deterred Trump. His “point man” for Social Security, Tom Leppert is a long-time privatization advocate.  Mike Korbey, who is heading the SSA transition, is a former lobbyist who has advocated privatizing Social Security. Dorcas Hardy, a commissioner of the SSA during the Reagan administration, is also on the Trump administration’s SSA transition team. She called for privatizing Social Security while at the libertarian Cato Institute in 1995.

The privatization of the military and security services began in earnest in the Bush/Cheney era with companies like Blackwater USA doing most of the heavy lifting in Iraq. But there are many companies contracting work that used to be done by our armed services. There can no longer be any doubt that war is a for-profit enterprise in the Trump era.

But all this is old news. What’s really different about Trump is his desire to privatize the presidency itself. He prefers his private security detail to the mandatory protection of the Secret Service. He’s said that he wants to use his own plane rather than Air Force One.  He’s indicated he will be spending more time at his home in New York than the White house (with the family not even moving to D.C.).

Even the use of his private Twitter account, rather than official channels of communication is an issue. Just as it’s easy for him to impulsively blast out some nonsense, it’s also easy for an unthinking citizen to impulsively respond, only now that citizen will be talking at the POTUS, and must be very careful indeed about any opposing speech that might be deemed a threat.

And, of, course Trump has refused to release his tax returns, divest any business holdings, or even clarify what they all are. His conflicts of interest in at least some of these businesses, e.g. his Washington D.C. hotel, are nonetheless obvious.

All this blending and blurring of the private with the public is ominous. While each of these things seems trivial enough on its own, and no direct threat to our way of life,  in the aggregate a clearer picture emerges.

This is how it’s done in countries where the government operates for the benefit of the rulers and not the citizens. This is what the dictators and despots do.

 

The chaotic transfer of power

In at least one past blog entry, I fretted about how it seemed Trump didn’t understand that the peaceful transfer of power was one of the things that made our democracy great. It meant, among other things, that our international treaty partners could rely on agreements made by past administrations, that our foreign policies could withstand ideological shifts at home without upsetting the world, that our currency would be stable, and that domestic political differences would be tempered by a strong moderating force.

If the storm cloud of Trump’s election has a silver lining, maybe it’s that we didn’t have to be tested in this area. The “Lock Her Up” faction was mollified, at least temporarily. The “Lock and Load” faction  can put their assault weapons down for a few minutes.

But it seems that the man-baby needs more than just the adulation of his fans, more than constantly seeing his name on every newspaper, internet site, and media outlet at the same time, and more than just the legitimacy and acceptance into the political elite that the election conveys.

What is now becoming crystal clear is that Trump needs chaos.

Only when all his allies are completely flustered, torn between jumping ship and circling the wagons, can he feel in control. Only when all his detractors are apoplectic with disbelief can he be assured of the commitment of those loyal to him. Only when the world is holding its breath to see if he was serious about his latest outrage does he feel that he actually controls the levers of power.

It’s bad enough that Trump intends to conduct foreign policy by Twitter, away from any sane or even semi-informed advisers. We’ll all see where that leads soon enough. But can we all at least agree that he must wait until he’s actually the president before doing it?

The Chinese seized a U.S. drone operating in international waters, escalating tensions in the Pacific. The U.S. protested through the usual channels and the Chinese agreed to return it to de-escalate the crisis. So far, we’re talking about a fairly normal, if dangerous, international incident with an optimal outcome for all – Chinese faces saved, Navy gets its drone back, world at peace.

But that’s not good enough for Trump. Apparently the idea of the Obama administration continuing to operate effectively and within accepted norms is too much for him. How can any crisis be settled without his input? Isn’t he the one with the “mandate” now?  Doesn’t everyone need to know what he thinks?

Time for some action from Trump Tower. Time to cause some chaos. With a tweet, of course. China can keep the drone – I don’t want it!

At last, the man-baby is pacified, at least for a couple of hours. Everyone’s talking about him again, so he can rest. Doesn’t matter that he’s not even the president yet. Doesn’t matter that he’s weakened  our position with China. Doesn’t matter that the world is laughing at us.

The Global Times, a Communist Party-controlled newspaper in Beijing, poked fun at the confusion in the United States.

“Before Trump’s generous announcement that he didn’t want the drone back, the Pentagon had already announced publicly that they have asked China to return the ‘illegally seized’ [unmanned underwater vehicle] through appropriate governmental channels,” the paper wrote. “We don’t know, after seeing Trump’s new tweets, if the Pentagon should feel boggled.”

Ahhhh. Sweet, sweet chaos. That’s the thing.

Press conference? I’d rather tweet.

Why should there be a problem if a president wanted to use Twitter instead of some other media to make an announcement, change or clarify policy, or even pick a fight. Is it so different from making a speech?

Yes, it’s different, and, yes, it’s a problem.

First of all, you have only 140 characters to say your piece. Can you really make international policy in 140 characters? Can you even use full words? Is there any room for nuance? Can you avoid ambiguity? No, no, no, and no. But it’s perfect for someone with a limited attention span.

Second, if you make a speech, you have a speech writer. You have editors. You make second and third drafts. You pass it by your advisers. You vet your points and choose your words carefully, particularly on foreign policy matters. With Twitter, none of this happens. Got a brilliant idea while sitting on the toilet? Tweet! Perfect for someone who is impulsive and always right.

Third, not only don’t you have to consult with others before tweeting, you don’t have to answer any questions after tweeting. Or if you do choose to answer questions, you can say it was a joke or you were misunderstood or it was locker room talk or you were speaking as an entertainer and not as an official or they started it or whatever. And you do it on Fox”news”. It’s the opposite of a press conference where people try to pin you down and hold you to what you’ve said before. Twitter is a one-way medium if you want it to be. Perfect for someone who likes to make proclamations and give orders, but can’t take in any information.

Trump has given no press conferences since the election, but has often tweeted, even about matters that should be the domain of the president, not the president-elect.

He got himself (and, therefore all of us) in hot water by accepting a call from the president of Taiwan. Then someone apparently told him that we’ve had a one-China policy for fifty years, and the Chinese regard Taiwan as a province (where all the Nationalists fled after the 1949 revolution).

Of course, Trump can never be wrong, so let the tweeting begin. Trump doubles down, as always, and says the one-China policy is in play unless we get a better “deal”, blah blah blah. Goes on TV (Fox of course) talking about North Korea and a lot of other stuff he obviously just heard about five minutes ago.

But he’s  not dealing with Low-energy Jeb or Little Marco or Lyin’ Ted or Crooked Hillary here. China’s Global Times newspaper called him an ignorant child (should have said man-baby IMO) and said “The ‘one China’ policy cannot be bought and sold. Trump, it seems, only understands business and believes that everything has a price and that if he is strong enough he can buy and sell by force”. They said a “real crisis” would ensue if Trump kept this up.

I don’t see a good way out here. Maybe the China tiff will fizzle. I hope so. But no one is going to take away the man-baby’s Twitter now. They tried it once a couple of days before the election, but it didn’t “take”.

We’re in trouble.

Conflicts and interests

Some people are starting to believe Trump doesn’t even understand what the concept of “conflict of interest” even means.

The other day Kellyanne Conway, our new Secretary of Smiling While Fighting, said Trump will continue his role as Executive Producer of Celebrity Apprentice in his spare time. She said, “Were we so concerned about the hours and hours and hours spent on the golf course of the current president? I mean presidents have a right to do things in their spare time, in their leisure time.”

Leaving aside the idea that the POTUS will have enough spare time to do another job, there are obvious conflicts of interest for both NBC and DJT here. At least they’re conflicts in the sense that the rest of us use the term. The president will have an interest in a show aired by a media company that also reports on his presidency.

But the man-baby understands the idea of conflict of interest very well. It only seems like he doesn’t because the rest of us are misunderstanding what his interest is. We all assumed his interest and that of the American people would be the same thing.

Trump knows there is no conflict of interest between being the president and running his businesses for the obvious reason that being the president is now one of his businesses. See?  Everything he does will be in his interest. Where’s the conflict?

This new paradigm is evidenced in virtually every one of his cabinet picks as well. But it’s interesting to note that the reason given for dropping Rudy Giuliani from consideration for Secretary of State is that the Trump team thought there would be conflicts of interests because of his business ties overseas. He was giving speeches to foreign governments about how evil it was that Hillary Clinton was giving speeches to foreign governments. You can’t make this shit up.

But today we learn that the front-runner for the job is the CEO and Chairman of Exxon Mobil, Rex Tillerson. Giuliani giving some speeches abroad is a conflict but the chairman of the world’s largest oil company doing business in 200 countries isn’t?  No, no, listen. Our national interest is making oil company executives rich, and our foreign policy is based on how best to do that.

It’s not so hard to understand.

A day like any other

Trump needlessly picks a Twitter fight with Chuck Jones, a union leader at Carrier who criticized him and his “saving” of all those jobs.

Trump selects a climate-change denier, Scott Pruitt, to head he E.P.A., a department whose very mission he disagrees with.  You can’t really be surprised by this kind of thing anymore.

Sean Spicer, the spokesman for the RNC, was on PBS Newshour. Asked about the appointment, Spicer said all Trump appointees are there to advance the Trump agenda. He also asserted that Trump’s sons are hunters and therefore environmentalists, even if their views differ from the “radical left” environmentalists, apparently referring to those of us that would like clean air and water and believe government can help with this.

Also, Spicer was asked if Trump stood by his  assertion that three million people had voted illegally.  Spicer said, “of course he does and that’s based on several academic reports…” He’s apparently referring to some already debunked nonsense.

It goes without saying  that Spicer said these and other things with a straight face (and a defensive, combative tone),  and may even believe them.

Trump’s term hasn’t even started and I can’t wait for it to be over.

mencken

Donald J. Trump, Diplomat

So the man-baby isn’t even president yet and he’s already got India and China pissed off. With his free-wheeling tweet-it-from-the-gut style and his inability to take in information from people that actually know something, a couple of phone calls is all it took.

If someone calls him to congratulate him on being a fantastic guy, that person is his new Best Friend Forever and can do no wrong, at least until some criticism from that BFF reaches his ears, and then it’s twitter tantrum time. No need to look at a map to try to figure out where the BFF is calling from or what our relationship with his country or its neighbors might have been for decades.

If it’s Taiwan’s Tsai Ing-wen, a really tremendous person BTW,  what’s that got to do with U.S. policy  in China anyway? You say no president-elect, or president, has spoken to a Taiwan leader since Washington cut formal diplomatic ties with Taipei and recognized the People’s Republic in 1979? I say, pffft. If China doesn’t like it well it’s #TimeToGetTough

The people who think Trump is playing checkers regard this as reckless blundering. The people who think he’s playing chess say it’s a calculated move to respond to Chinese aggression in the South China Sea. I’m holding off my judgement until it’s been demonstrated that Trump can correctly point to the South China Sea on a map without Kellyanne Conway in the room. Or until someone convinces me Trump knows how to play checkers.

Back in 2012, Trump tweeted,

“Get it straight: Pakistan is not our friend. We’ve given them billions and billions of dollars, and what did we get? Betrayal and disrespect — and much worse #TimeToGetTough”

But that was before Pakistan’s Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, a really tremendous person BTW, called him to say what a fantastic guy he is, and, bingo, all that touchy terrorism stuff is forgotten. Never happened. Don’t worry about it.

According to the Prime Minister,

“President Trump said Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif you have a very good reputation. You are a terrific guy. You are doing amazing work which is visible in every way. I am looking forward to see you soon. As I am talking to you Prime Minister, I feel I am talking to a person I have known for long. Your country is amazing with tremendous opportunities. Pakistanis are one of the most intelligent people. I am ready and willing to play any role that you want me to play to address and find solutions to the outstanding problems.”

What’s that you say? India and Pakistan don’t get along very well? Hmm. Well, uh, has anyone from India called to tell me I’m a fantastic guy? Not yet? Well, there’s the problem.

The good news is that Kellyanne Conway assures us that Trump has been fully briefed before talking to any world leader. Whew. That’s a relief. You had me going there for a minute.

 

The Master Distracter does it again

The other day, our president-elect tweeted (of course) that flag-burners should go to jail, and the media went ape-shit.

flag-burning

The internet, talk radio, cable news, print news, and opinion writers all had a massive heart attack simultaneously:

From the left is was: Doesn’t he know the Supreme Court has ruled on this? Twice? Doesn’t he know even Scalia said its OK? Hasn’t he read the constitution? Doesn’t he know what free speech is? Does he know the difference between being president and emperor?

From the right is was: Finally a president who understands. Burning the flag is treason! You elitists don’t get it – desecrating the flag is desecrating our military. Most people agree flag burning should be illegal. Crooked Hillary also wanted to outlaw it!

But why was Trump even talking about flag burning at all? True, there had been a demonstration at tiny Hampshire College several weeks earlier, after which a flag had been burned. But that furor had died down and been replaced and replaced again by others. It certainly wasn’t in the actual news when he blasted out his twitter-twaddle.

Some say it was because he was watching a FoxNews piece about it at the time, and, impulsive man-baby that he is, couldn’t stop himself from firing off a stupid tweet. And why not? It would only strengthen his popularity among his supporters, and that has shown to be a winning strategy for him.

But that’s not what happened.

What happened is that Trump was really getting annoyed by the coverage of him that had filled the airwaves over the previous 48 hours. That coverage was actually about something serious (for a change) and was getting some traction. It was all about his conflicts of interest – how he already seemed to be using the office of the presidency to further his various businesses, how we didn’t even know what they all were because of his refusal to release his taxes, how we were in uncharted waters about what he would have to divest or put in blind trusts, and so on.

Ordinarily, Trump is happy as long as his name is all over the front pages, and it really doesn’t matter if the coverage is pro or con – either suits his purposes just fine.

During the campaign, monopolizing the news with his incendiary nonsense ensured that his opponents got no coverage – we weren’t even sure who they all were – and that he never had to address actual issues of government or policy. Whenever talk about him seemed to be ebbing, he’d throw some new gasoline on the fire.

But all the talk of conflict of interest was starting to have an effect, and he had to get us off it. Trump is the Master Distracter. Hence the flag-burning “controversy”.

Of course, all this would easily be countered by a journalistic profession that had some integrity and responsibility  and trusted the American people to have an attention span longer than Trump’s. But in the era of 24/7 news for profit, the beast must be fed. Even a serious story has a short life and must be set aside for new meat, serious or silly.

Journalism is dead. Twitter is alive. And Trump knows exactly what to do with these new realities. It’s time to face facts: Donald Trump is actually smarter than the rest of us.

Tiny-handed man-baby plays nice

So, in the last few days, we have seen “good Trump” on ample display. He had a nice meeting with the Failing New York Times, backed away from his pledge to lock up Crooked Hillary, nominated a couple of women for top jobs without grabbing them by the pussy, and so on.

He gave a Thanksgiving address, or should I say made a Thanksgiving video, calling for unity after a long and bruising campaign (without mentioning that he caused almost all the bruising).

Why? Why now? What’s in it for him?

A friend of the blog offered the theory that he’s worried about the upcoming electoral college vote on December 19, and is being told to present a saner version of his mercurial self until that hurdle has been cleared.

As we all know by now, Trump lost the popular vote by over two million votes. That’s a lot! Clinton has 232 pledged Electoral College votes and would need only 38 faithless electors to change their vote, which, in 22 states,  they would be entirely within their rights to do.

It’s a longshot at best, but many of those electors have been getting an earful. An online petition already has 4.5 million signatures. Apart from the fact that he lost the popular vote and is seen by most as temperamentally unfit for the job, he accepted illegal campaign contributions amounting to $1.3 million and the Trump foundation has admitted self dealing to the IRS.

In addition to all that, there is the whole question of conflicts of interest with his various businesses. Although he claims that “the president cannot have a conflict of interest” and that the law is on his side (amazingly, he could be right on this!), that may not be enough.

The emoluments clause in the constitution prohibits receiving gifts from foreign powers, and, depending on how you want to define “gift”, Trump could be in a lot of trouble here.

To put this in perspective, Obama had to jump through a lot of hoops to figure out whether accepting the Nobel Prize was a violation of the Emoluments clause.

Whether Trump’s conflicts of interest are something for the electoral college to sort out, or whether it will be the job of congress or the Supreme Court, is yet to be seen. But if you were an elector, perhaps it would tip the scales for you. There’s already plenty of weight on the side of the faithless.

In the meantime, on Thanksgiving, we can give thanks for a few days of relative normalcy in Mar-a-Lago.

Are there really two Trumps?

Trump took to social media to “address” the country about the priorities of his coming administration yesterday. This was in the form of a short Youtube video, in which he talked about how he was going to create “many millions” of jobs (by lifting restrictions on the coal industry), revoke and “renegotiate” trade agreements, and impose lobbying bans

In terms of content, it was just a rehash of some of his campaign blather, though he did manage to steer clear of the more incendiary provocations of the campaign, i.e. the building of a wall, deportation of millions, and revocation of the ACA.

In terms of form, there were a couple noteworthy elements. The first is the choice of Youtube, rather than a TV address or press conference, of which there have been none since the election. In the past, the use of social media for such messages has been thought to be too like simple propaganda, though Obama has done some of it. For the coming administration, it is now clear that this will be the norm.

The main “new” element in this communication was Trump speaking in a more moderate way, staying on script, using a teleprompter, and being “presidential”. There was no Trumpian bombast, no fight-picking, no singling out of critics for retaliation.

This was taken by many, including the New York Times, as evidence that there are really two Trumps, that Trump is very “self-aware”, and that he chooses carefully which Trump to present based on his objective. He has said he is capable of being “very boring” when he needs to be, meaning go five seconds without calling someone a name, and this video “proves” that.

If only.

In fact, there are not two Trumps. There is only one Trump and one Conway. What we see here is the momentary triumph of his handlers in their ongoing effort to reign in their impulsive man-baby. They wrote out a not-too-long message which he was able to deliver, selfie-style, into an iPhone camera without any tantrums before returning to the more pressing business of flipping channels, looking for his name on the internet, and grabbing the occasional stranger by the pussy.

Trump is going to show us how to be president in the internet age. He will do it from home using only his cell phone. No need to come to Washington, no need to meet with congressman, no need to deal with the press, no need to modify his family life or business interests in any way.

He can do it part-time without changing any of his real priorities. There may not be two Trumps, but perhaps this isn’t a bad thing. One is enough.

 

President of the people who like him

Once again, our President-elect has chosen to create a spat and escalate it to a media-saturating battle in the culture wars, or, more accurately, a battle between Trump and anyone who criticizes him directly or indirectly.

As everyone now knows, Mike Pence went to a performance of Hamilton, after which cast members addressed him from the stage and expressed the desire that the new administration should work “on behalf of all of us”.

It was an unprecedented and inappropriate calling-out of an audience member, true. But it comes after an unprecedented and inappropriate Trump/Pence campaign. Everything has been changed now, and it wasn’t the Hamilton cast that changed it.

Pence behaved with dignity and, one might say, a bearing appropriate to the highest office in the land. He listened to what was said, smiled, and left. That, for anyone who may have forgotten, is what’s known as being “presidential”.

Trump, on the other hand, immediately dropped what he was doing up in his tower (filling out his cabinet with white men) to take to the Twitter once more. He demanded an apology from the cast. Then he belittled them for not being able to memorize their lines – typical made-up Trumpian nonsense which he deleted shortly after posting .

This is the opposite of being “presidential”, something even many Republicans now acknowledge. It is exactly the kind of behavior Trump has repeatedly engaged in that signals he will use the office not to work on behalf of us all, as the Hamilton cast hoped, but to work against those who criticize him.

To underscore this mission, Newt Gingrich, one of Trump’s strongest supporters, said about the Hamilton furor, “President-elect Trump is signaling that he will fight for his team and his policies”.

Exactly the problem. “His team” should be all Americans, not just those who admire him. Save the fighting for our enemies, not your critics. Unfortunately, this is not anything new for Trump. It’s who he always has been. What you’ve seen is what you’ll be getting.

One thing that has become clear, though, is that when Trump says or does something for which an apology might be warranted (in this case, inexplicably accusing the cast of the most successful production in recent theater history of not being able to read lines), he does not apologize. He never apologizes. He simply deletes the thing for which he might apologize and, presto, it never happened.

Conversely, Trump is constantly demanding apologies from others, or threatening to sue them, or both. He is perpetually aggrieved. Looking at the first few pages of a quick google search of  the term “Trump demands apology”, you can get the idea.

Trump has recently demanded apologies from:

FoxNews for using foul language

Former Mexican president for saying they won’t be paying for a wall 

Hillary Clinton for the “deplorables” remark

Hillary Clinton for calling him ISIS’ best recruiter

Hillary Clinton for causing death and destruction

The Onion for being The Onion

A “crazy“ MSNBC host for questioning one of his supporters

The New York Times for saying he mocked Serge Kovaleski

The New York Times for publishing a story about his groping victims

David Cameron for saying Trump’s remarks on Muslims were divisive

Ted Cruz for his anti-Trump campaign ads

Et cetera, et cetera, ad nauseum.

To be fair, other Republican presidents never apologized either, and Republicans often accuse Democrats of apologizing when they shouldn’t, and of thereby diminishing our great country. This may explain Trump’s appeal to his admirers, but it doesn’t explain his actions. His refusal to apologize is not a republican trait or strategy. In fact, many have pointed out that Trump is hardly a Republican at all.

No, the Trump case is unlike anything we’ve seen before. In the first place, Trump can’t go a day without doing something which cries out for apology, so the sheer volume of transgressions is new.

But mainly it’s Trump himself. He’s simply unlike anyone who has reached this level before. Many who voted for him see his intransigence and bellicosity as great strengths. Many who are reviled by him think the opposite. Can Trump be the president of both groups, the president of all of us?

 

 

 

Rock, Paper, Scissors, Narcissist

Our country is designed to work on the principle of checks and balances. No one arm of the government can override the other two. It’s a lot like the rules of Rock/Paper/Scissors that way. Neither the Legislature, the Judiciary, or the Executive can impose its will on the other two. At least that’s the way the Constitution wants it to be.

The President can veto legislation passed by Congress. Congress can block  Supreme  Court nominees or re-write legislation the Supreme Court has ruled on. The Supreme Court can determine the legality of presidential actions or even elections.

Or going around the circle the other way, the President can appoint Supreme Court justices, the Supreme Court can approve or invalidate legislation, and Congress can override presidential vetoes or even impeach the president.

But there are some new elements in the mix now. First, both houses of congress are now not just “Republican”, but stacked with either people who profess not to believe in government at all, or who are beholden or committed to the Koch agenda one way or another. They are unlikely to push back on any Trump initiative. Or any Trump court, cabinet, or ambassadorial appointee. Or any executive order.

Also Trump may have the opportunity to nominate multiple Supreme Court Justices. He will certainly nominate one and that alone will tilt the court his way.

And second, we will have a President with no government experience of any kind, one who’s never been elected as even blackboard-monitor in grade school as far as we know. We’ll have a president who has bloviated about how he’ll drain the swamp, prosecute his opponents, punish our trading partners, invalidate our treaties, and abandon our allies.

We’ll have a president who has proven that avenging any perceived slight and attacking any perceived enemy is the highest priority. A president whose inner circle consists entirely of family members and sycophants. A president who has begun appointing a cabinet of nitwits, dipshits, and nutjobs.

We will have president who clearly demonstrates all the elements of Narcissistic Personality Disorder.

What will become of the checks and balances here? Who will ever say no to this guy?

Who’s going to say no to Trump when he wants to bring his kids to meetings with heads of state  or security briefings?

Who’s going to say no to him when he decides he’d rather sleep in his own bed in New York every night, traffic below be damned, and not reside in Washington at all?

Who’s going to say no to him when he refuses to divest or even disclose conflicts of interests related to his businesses? Or even medical or psychiatric issues?

Who’s going to say no to him when he denies press credentials or refuses to even hold press conferences at all?

Who’s going to say no to him when he wants to defy anti-nepotism laws? Or any laws at all for that matter?

These are all seemingly small things that have either already happened or are about to. Let’s not yet contemplate the potential here for persecuting minorities, destroying the environment, or starting wars.

The rules of the game are changing. Narcissist covers rock. Narcissist cuts paper. Narcissist crushes scissors.

 

Hail to the Chief

OK, you did what the sneering elite said you couldn’t do. All their polls were wrong, maybe even “rigged”. Take a victory lap or two to rub it in, and then start thinking about what you’ve let yourself in for. The easy part is over now, and it’s time to actually do the job.

You promised many preposterous things along the way, and no one really expects you to deliver on them. For many who voted for you, putting an end to Crooked Hillary was enough. But there are one or two promises which you could actually deliver on without too much trouble,  and a few of the people who voted for you are expecting you to do so right away.

You repeatedly talked about one factory situation in particular- the Carrier air conditioning plant in Indianapolis was moving 1400 jobs to Mexico – and you told people exactly how you would stop that and preserve the jobs. You would put a 35% tariff on any Carrier system made in Mexico. You said the president of Carrier would be calling you up as soon as you took office saying, “Sir, we’ve decided to stay in the United States.” I think you were sincere about this. 1400 voters believed you and are counting on keeping their jobs.

You have to deliver now. It has struck me a couple of times since the “transition” has begun this week that you look like a different guy. You look a little chastened, a little lost, a little tired, a little like it’s dawning on you that you bit off more than you can chew.

trump2

trump1

I’m guessing those Carrier workers have some tough times ahead. They’ll join all the other people who trusted you over the years and were stiffed. Maybe you’ll feel a little sorry about it, but I’m guessing you won’t . I’m guessing you’ll put a positive spin on it. I’m guessing you’ll turn it to your advantage.

And why not? The band will be playing “Hail to the Chief”.

A Face in the Crowd

As Lonesome Rhodes in “A Face in the Crowd”, Andy Griffith was a scary kind of folksy, anti-establishment, populist-turned-megalomaniac, demagogue media star. This clip is meant to show how Trump is saying a lot of the same things as that character, and how his political and media trajectory is similar.

The people around Lonesome Rhodes see him for the cynical faker that he really is, and ultimately take him down by leaving a microphone open so that his followers can finally understand how they’ve been fooled.

But the analogy is not perfect.

Trump’s microphone is always open to begin with.  Everyone already knows every nasty little thing he thinks. There is no filter between his brain and his mouth or his Twitter. No thought goes unsaid. No tweet is edited or refined or even delayed while he counts to ten. The NYT did a nice little list of 282 people he has insulted on Twitter. It includes presidential candidates of all parties, their spouses, other politicians, columnists, celebrities, and on and on and on.

Whole countries are insulted, too. Britain, China, Mexico, Iran, Germany, Saudi Arabia each get the treatment. Add it all up and you’ve got literally billions of people Trump has gone after in terms ranging from dismissive to vulgar and beyond.

Even the middle aged, white, male, blue collar workers that love him so much and eagerly await the return of their factory jobs only have to look at the way he’s treated their counterparts who have come into his orbit to understand what Trump really thinks about them. He’s stiffed them all.

The veterans, who have been given a “hot line” to Trump so that “If he is elected President he will take care of these and all Veterans complaints very quickly and efficiently like a world-class business man can do, but a politician has no clue”, have also been stiffed. They get a recording. They’re told to email him. The emails are not answered.

There is almost no one left to insult.

The bottom line is that unlike the Lonesome Rhodes example, there is apparently nothing that Trump, or anyone else, can say or do that will make his followers finally understand how they’ve been fooled.

Trumpism and truthiness

Trump famously said he could shoot someone on fifth avenue and he wouldn’t lose voters. That was putting it a bit too strongly perhaps, but basically it has proven to be true. The vote is just a couple of days away now, and he is still standing and might even win.

Of all the things he’s done in his career and said during this campaign that could and should have disqualified him and turned the voters against him, the only thing that really made even a small dent was the whole “grab them by the pussy” thing, and even that lasted only a week or so.

From the beginning, the central plank in his platform, if you can call it a platform, has been a strong  anti-immigration stance – deport the illegals, build a wall, no Muslims allowed (morphed into “extreme  vetting”), and so on.

Today, The Guardian is reporting that Melania worked in the U.S. before getting a work visa. In other words, she was an illegal, taking jobs from Americans. I only read the headline, not the story, partly because I don’t give a shit about this, but mostly because I know that whatever the revelation, scandal, hypocrisy, or outright lie might be, it won’t affect Trump’s standing with his supporters one bit.

Yet, this is exactly the kind of thing that would sink any Democratic candidate faster than an errant email. Or at least dominate the news for weeks, like nanny-gate. But Democrats live in the fact-based world and must be accountable for their statements and actions. For Trump, it just isn’t going to matter at all.

All the old proverbs and litmus tests that used to apply in Republican presidential politics have been shown to be a smoke screen: “family values”,  strong military background, fiscal responsibility, never-talk-shit-about-other-Republicans, unshakeable anti-abortion credentials, and so on, were just slogans of convenience.

I’d bet anything that somewhere along the line, one of his three wives, his daughter, one of his Miss Universe employees, or one of the pussy-grabees has had an abortion that Trump paid for. I’d also bet that if this came to light today, none of his supporters would hold it against him even a little bit. But there’s no need to speculate on such things when the already-known list of Trump’s words and actions that violate Republican “principles” is so long.

No, for the Trump supporter, it’s always been about “truthiness”.

According to the word’s inventor, Stephen Colbert, truthiness means “how you feel is more important than what the facts are, and that the truth that you feel is correct is more important than anything that the facts could support”.

It was kind of funny and certainly true when applied to talk radio and FoxNews, but I don’t think many people took it seriously as something that could be ridden to the White House in the form of this toxic Trumpism.  How wrong we all were.

Adam Gopnik wrote this recently:

What can be causing Trumpism? We ask, and seek for an earthquake, or at least a historical oddity or a series of highly specific causal events. The more tragic truth is that the Trumpian view of the world is the default view of mankind. Bigotry, fanaticism, xenophobia are the norms of human life—the question is not what causes them but what uncauses them, what happens in the rare extended moments that allow them to be put aside, when secular values of toleration and pluralism replace them.

What really needs explaining is not why the Trumps of the world come forward and win. It is why they sometimes lose.

Mini-Me gets a scolding

This article covers a recent debate between Mark Kirk, Republican senator from Illinois, and his challenger, Tammy Duckworth, a Democrat who lost both legs piloting a helicopter in Iraq.

Kirk is recovering from a major stroke, and won’t release his health records. In contrast, Hillary Clinton has been falsely accused of various infirmities and has released hers.

But, a foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds. Especially when a Republican senate seat is at stake. So Republicans, in the main, are all in for Mark Kirk.

Kirk seems to be a small-scale Trump in a lot of ways.

Like Trump, Kirk exaggerated his own military record. Remember all that marching Trump did in school – it was more experience than guys who actually served?

Like Trump, he also diminished the real military record of his opponents. Remember Trump asserting McCain is no hero?

Like Trump, he questioned the ancestry of his opponents and detractors. Remember Trump keeping the Birther thing alive for five years? Or raising the issue of Cruz’s eligibility?

Like Trump, he makes absurd accusations about Obama, e.g. calling him “Drug-dealer-in-chief”, then denies he ever made them.

Like Trump, he has been told by his minders to stay on message and away from extemporizing to the media. Remember every day of the Trump campaign?

Like Trump he uses vulgar language and opines on things he should shut up about, e.g saying the unmarried Lindsay Graham is a “Bro with no ho”. Remember every hour of the Trump campaign?

Like Trump, many have pointed out he has no control of the filter between what he thinks and what he says. Remember every minute of the Trump campaign?

But here’s the best part: although it would seem that Kirk would be exactly the kind of incumbent Trump would want to help, he made the unforgivable mistake of un-endorsing Trump after the “Mexican judge” thing. And if there’s one thing that defines Donald Trump above all others, it’s his thin-skinned and petty inability to let go of a grudge.

So, Kellyanne Conway gave Kirk what he had coming, by tweeting (of course), under the title, “Senator Mark Kirk mocks disabled Iraq war vet Tammy Duckworth in debate for her mixed-race heritage.” :

“The same Mark Kirk that unendorsed his party’s presidential nominee and called him out in paid ads? Gotcha. Good luck,”

Does anyone actually listen to this guy?

At a rally in Delaware, Ohio on Thursday, Trump said he would accept the election results if he won.

What a relief!

He also said, “And always, I will follow and abide by all of the rules and traditions of all of the many candidates who have come before me. Always.”

Really? Shall we start with your tax returns?

Trump and echoes of 1933

So many parallels. The cult of personality, requiring loyalty to the man not the state or party, the paranoia, the “crimes” of his opponents and the threats against them, the fear of the sycophants surrounding him, the personal isolation and lack of friends, the ignorance and misreading of world affairs, the impulsiveness and readiness to deploy arms, the xenophobia, the encouragement of minions to act against enemies to stifle dissent at rallies or polling places, the intemperate language, the legitimization of saying and doing things that the social contract has previously forbidden, the unending personal vendettas.

The damage Trump has done to this country’s prestige abroad is already huge. Win or lose, he’ll be making trouble at home for a long time.

“Bill Clinton did it, too, but worse”.

A. Bill Clinton is not on the ballot.

B. We already paid a high price for Clinton’s antics. Gore couldn’t run on the accomplishments of Clinton’s eight years because of the indiscretions, so we wound up with Bush instead.

C. “Why are you upset with me when you gave Bill Clinton a pass?” A pass? WTF are you talking about? They fucking IMPEACHED the guy!

D. Actually, “they” didn’t impeach him, Republicans impeached him, i.e. the same people now defending Trump. Democrats didn’t much care about personal things then and they don’t much now. It’s the Republican hypocrisy that’s at issue.

E. “My transgressions were words, Bill’s were actions.” Again, we agree we won’t vote for Bill Clinton in this election. But, to be clear, your words were bragging about your actions.

F. Clinton’s transgressions might have been a sin, but yours were a crime. Clinton’s “victims” were all in love with him – the sex was consensual. In your case, we’re talking about assault. None of your accusers consented. You, sir, are a pig.

G. “It’s just locker room talk”. Yeah, no. Not really. I’ve been in a few locker rooms over the years and I’ve never heard any one say. “I wish I had a lot of money so I could grab strangers by the pussy and they’d just let me.” Maybe that’s what they’re saying in Brunei or Riyadh or some such. I don’t know. But I’ve never heard it here.

H. And if I ever DID hear that said in a locker room, the last thing I would think is  “By Jove, that fellow should run for President!”. The first thing I would think would be, “Christ, what an asshole.”.

Welcome to Dumbfuckistan

When you ask anyone in a Muslim country why they wouldn’t prefer a western-style government (aka “democracy”), they will say one of two things.

The first is that it puts the law of man above the law of God. These are the people that want Sharia law. They believe the brutal, arbitrary rule of mullahs is a better alternative than the brutal, arbitrary rule of dictators or kings. These people have no history or tradition of liberal democracy to refer to. Their model has always been, Big Strong Man seizes power, uses the wealth of the country as his own, stays for life.

The second is that elections are the equivalent of two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. This glib aphorism betrays a complete lack of understanding of what western government is all about.

Elections are only a small part of how we govern ourselves, not nearly the most important thing that defines the brilliance of the founding documents. Some of  the other elements we take for granted include:

Rule of law – not even the president is above the law.

No tyranny of the majority – minority rights are assured, particularly political and religious minorities. The wolves are not allowed to eat the lamb for lunch.

Independent judiciary – free from political control

Free press – you can say or print any opinion or dissent

Loyal opposition – all sides are part of the legislative process

Local and state administrations all living under a unified federal system. You can make your own local laws, but you can’t go crazy.

No armed factions – this is the one that plagues ALL third-world countries.

And then there is the most important of all – the peaceful transfer of power.

Whoever is elected is expected to be the president of all of us, even those who voted against him, and work for our common interest. We accused Saddam Hussein of gassing “his own people”, i.e. Iraqis. But he understood that “his people” were Tikriti Sunnis. He figured, to hell with the the Kurds or the Marsh Arabs.

In this country, when you lose an election, you smile, make a speech congratulating your opponent, and go away. This is the main thing that accounts for our political stability, our domestic tranquility, and the confidence of our international treaty partners. In “Palestine”, it makes no difference whether Abbas signs a peace treaty or not – you can bet Hamas will keep shooting.

Last night Donald Trump refused to accept that the election wouldn’t be rigged against him. For the first time, the peaceful transfer of power is not a given.

Welcome to Dumbfuckistan.